Poisson Distribution Calculator
The Poisson probability of k events when λ are expected is e^(−λ) λᵏ / k!: with λ = 2, exactly 3 events has P = 0.18044704.
0.180447044315484
Full answer, then cut to fewer decimals (not rounded):
- 0.180447044315484
- 0.18044704431548
- 0.1804470443154
- 0.180447044315
- 0.18044704431
- 0.1804470443
- 0.180447044
- 0.18044704
- 0.1804470
- 0.180447
- 0.18044
- 0.1804
- 0.180
- 0.18
- 0.1
- P(X ≤ 3)
- 0.85712346
- P(X < 3)
- 0.67667642
- P(X ≥ 3)
- 0.32332358
- P(X > 3)
- 0.14287654
- Mean = variance = λ
- 2
- Standard deviation √λ
- 1.41421
Step-by-step solution
- P(X = k) = e^(−λ) λᵏ ÷ k!
- = e^(−2) × 2^3 ÷ 3!
- = 0.18044704
Poisson Distribution Formula
P(X = k) = e^(−λ) λᵏ ÷ k!
λ mean number of events in the interval; mean = variance = λ
Worked Example
Exactly 3 events when 2 are expected (λ = 2):
- P(X = k) = e^(−λ) λᵏ ÷ k!
- = e^(−2) × 2^3 ÷ 3!
- = 0.18044704
P(X < 3): 0.67667642 · P(X ≥ 3): 0.32332358 · P(X > 3): 0.14287654 · Mean = variance = λ: 2 · Standard deviation √λ: 1.41421
Scaling λ to the interval
λ must be the expected number of events in the interval you ask about. If calls arrive at 6 per hour, the number in 20 minutes has λ = 2. The Poisson model assumes events are independent and occur at a constant rate; bunching or a changing rate makes it inaccurate. It also approximates the binomial distribution when n is large and p small, with λ = np.
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P(X = k) = C(n, k) pᵏ (1 − p)ⁿ⁻ᵏ
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Example: 3 heads in 10 tosses of a fair coin: P(X = 3) = 0.1171875.
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Eigenvalue Calculator
det(A − λI) = 0
Σλ = trace A, Πλ = det A
Example: The matrix [[4, 1], [2, 3]]: Eigenvalues: λ₁ = 5, λ₂ = 2.
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Simpson’s Rule Calculator
I = h/3 [y₀ + 4(y₁ + y₃ + …) + 2(y₂ + y₄ + …) + yₙ]
h step size, n even number of intervals
Example: y = 1/(1 + x²) at x = 0, 0.25, …, 1 (h = 0.25): Integral I ≈ 0.785392.
Frequently asked questions
What does the Poisson distribution model?
Counts of independent events in a fixed interval of time or space at a constant average rate λ, such as arrivals per hour or defects per metre.
What is P(X ≥ 1) for a Poisson variable?
It is 1 − P(X = 0) = 1 − e^(−λ). For λ = 2 that is 0.864665.
Sources
Last reviewed: . Factors are stored exactly and computed with 50-digit decimal arithmetic. See how we verify conversion factors.
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APA
Scientific Converters. (2026, October 15). Poisson Distribution Calculator. Retrieved October 25, 2026, from https://scientificconverters.com/calculators/poisson-distribution-calculator/
IEEE
Scientific Converters, "Poisson Distribution Calculator," scientificconverters.com. Accessed: Oct. 25, 2026. [Online]. Available: https://scientificconverters.com/calculators/poisson-distribution-calculator/